Sector Views    |   April 12, 2018

Not Too Soon to Think About Defaults and Recovery Rates

Benign conditions support near term value in credit, but default rates will rise as the Fed tightens further and corporate debt levels continue to grow.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 26, 2018

When Fiscal and Monetary Policy Collide

Prepare for when the effects of fiscal stimulus begin to wear off and monetary policy keeps getting more restrictive.


Portfolio Strategy    |   February 21, 2018

Fixed-Income Outlook: Walking the Risk Tightrope

Current conditions could persist for some time, but with a possible recession approximately two years away, the time for caution is approaching.


Global CIO Outlook    |   February 20, 2018

The Market Is Finally Getting the Joke

Investors are coming to terms with the idea that the Fed will keep raising rates because of inflation and economic pressures.


Global CIO Outlook    |   January 23, 2018

Davos as Contra-Indicator

Euphoria at Davos may be a sign that the market melt up may soon begin to cool.


VIDEO

Forecasting the Next Recession

Forecating the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

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10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

In his market outlook, Global CIO Scott Minerd discusses the challenges of managing in a market melt up and highlights several charts from his recent piece, “10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018.”

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January 16, 2018

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2018 and beyond.

The Transition Away from Libor - Image Thumbnail
August 07, 2017

The Transition Away from Libor

Plans are afoot to establish a replacement for Libor beyond the FCA’s 2021 end date.



Macroeconomic Research    |   November 29, 2017

Forecasting the Next Recession

Our new analytical tools point to a high probability that the next recession will start in late 2019 to early 2020.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 01, 2017

The Keys to American Growth

Policymakers take heed: Successful economic policy is still determined by the four essential factors of production—land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship.


Portfolio Strategy    |   April 12, 2017

The Core Conundrum

The deep chasm between investors’ return targets and current market realities is creating a conundrum for core fixed-income investors.




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