Global CIO Outlook

Guggenheim Global Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd offers insights on macroeconomic trends and the potential impacts on global investment opportunities.



The Sustainable Development Quotient

Scott Minerd discusses the importance of transitioning sustainable development into an institutional asset class.


May 15, 2014

Breaking Good

After breaking out of their recent trading range, yields on U.S. Treasuries could now be heading significantly lower and the U.S. economy could enjoy fast economic growth in the coming months.


May 07, 2014

Forward into Broad, Sunlit Uplands

It’s topsy turvy season as U.S. interest rates are falling when they should normally be rising and because 2014 might be the year to ignore the age-old advice to sell in May and go away.


April 30, 2014

Old Embers Never Die

The situation in Ukraine could become worse than markets now anticipate as Putin’s best interests might not be what investors expect.


April 23, 2014

Resistance is Futile, for Now

The U.S. “risk-on” trade is still in place, even as some leveraged credit is showing signs of overheating.


April 16, 2014

A Bend in the Road is Not the End of the Road

Turmoil in Ukraine, growth concerns in Japan, and weakness in U.S. equity markets are giving U.S. investors a short-term case of heartburn but none of this should undermine the overall case for optimism.


April 09, 2014

Wanting Work Makes a Difference

As the Fed considers the precise timing of tightening monetary policy, a key consideration will be how many Americans want to get back to work. Monetary doves found an olive twig amid the floodwaters last week when the labor force participation rate increased slightly.


April 02, 2014

Plans are Nothing; Planning is Everything

U.S. investors are largely convinced that the Fed will raise interest rates in the middle of 2015 but sluggish inflation could push that eventuality back into 2016.


March 26, 2014

Plant a Tree Today, Sit in the Shade Tomorrow

The Federal Reserve’s desire to be predictable should lead to an incremental path for the coming tightening cycle and that suggests increasing exposure to floating-rate instruments.


March 19, 2014

The Song Remains the Same

The noisy journey from winter to spring in the United States may mask the underlying strength in the U.S. economy. The risk-on environment should remain intact, despite international tensions.


March 12, 2014

Fail to Prepare, Prepare to Fail

Five years into the U.S. bull market this remains a “risk on” environment, but with monetary tightening on the horizon now is a time to become more cautious and start thinking about what comes next.







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