Global CIO Outlook

Guggenheim Global Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd offers insights on macroeconomic trends and the potential impacts on global investment opportunities.



The Sustainable Development Quotient

Scott Minerd discusses the importance of transitioning sustainable development into an institutional asset class.


November 20, 2013

The Fed and the Economy: “Don’t Shoot Until You See the Whites of Their Eyes”

The Federal Reserve has started to highlight “forward guidance” as a way to keep interest rates lower for longer – and get the exhausted hamster off the treadmill of quantitative easing. We still think tapering remains farther off than most investors expect.


November 14, 2013

Taper or Not, Stocks and Bonds Could Gain

Both bond and equity markets are well-positioned, regardless of whether the U.S. Federal Reserve tapers its asset purchase program.


November 06, 2013

Party Like it’s 1999

There remains significant upside for risk assets, but in this liquidity-driven market there is also an increasing risk of a “melt-up” such as the one that preceded the bursting of the tech bubble in early 2000.


October 30, 2013

A Rebound in Global Equities

With the U.S. economic expansion entering its fifth year and the global economic picture improving, it appears equities in Europe and Asia can still rise.


October 23, 2013

Risk-On Returns

Ultra loose U.S. monetary policy continues pushing asset values higher at home and abroad. Seasonal factors should also provide a tailwind and lift asset prices across nearly every investment class.


October 17, 2013

Headwinds Give Way to Bullishness

With the partial government shutdown and Washington gridlock behind us for now, interest rates should continue declining and conditions are pointing to a period of renewed strength across asset classes.


October 09, 2013

Tipping the Scale Toward High Yield Bonds

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision in September to delay at least for now any reduction in its asset purchases drove U.S. Treasury rates down materially from the highs seen over the summer, easing concerns about the impact of higher rates on economic growth. Now as we start the fourth quarter, the below-investment grade investment outlook appears positive, and more positive for high yield bonds than bank loans.


October 02, 2013

Buying the Shutdown

Volatility from the government shutdown and other political developments in Washington D.C. will likely continue to rise. Despite this, the reduction in output from this will be short-term, and investors still have several attractive options for deploying capital across asset classes in the United States and globally.


September 25, 2013

Global Destinations for Yield

While U.S. stocks are increasingly due for a consolidation, the outlook for global equities is improving. Now appears to be a good time for investors to increase allocations toward Asia and Europe.


September 19, 2013

The Fed’s About-Face

The Federal Reserve’s decision not to taper quantitative easing telegraphed a mixed signal to markets about policy guidance while tempering forward economic growth expectations. Dramatically lower interest rates can be expected.







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