Global CIO Outlook

Guggenheim Global Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd offers insights on macroeconomic trends and the potential impacts on global investment opportunities.



The Sustainable Development Quotient

Scott Minerd discusses the importance of transitioning sustainable development into an institutional asset class.


September 25, 2013

Global Destinations for Yield

While U.S. stocks are increasingly due for a consolidation, the outlook for global equities is improving. Now appears to be a good time for investors to increase allocations toward Asia and Europe.


September 19, 2013

The Fed’s About-Face

The Federal Reserve’s decision not to taper quantitative easing telegraphed a mixed signal to markets about policy guidance while tempering forward economic growth expectations. Dramatically lower interest rates can be expected.


September 18, 2013

Rising Interest Rates Must End Soon

Why now may be the most opportune time to buy bonds than at any time in the past two years.


September 11, 2013

Approaching a Turning Point

Higher interest rates continue to negatively affect the real economy, increasing the susceptibility of risk assets to downside risk.


September 05, 2013

The Growth Mirage

Despite disappointing economic data, there continue to be widespread expectations of a period of stronger economic growth just ahead. This growth mirage draws thirsty investors and increases the likelihood that interest rates will continue rising over the near-term.


August 28, 2013

More Evidence of Pressure on Housing

The slowdown in housing due to higher mortgage rates is becoming more evident in the data for that market. This comes during a time when the Fed is making a crucial decision about tapering quantitative easing, which is causing market uncertainty to rise further.


August 21, 2013

Determined to Taper

The release of the July Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes today and the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium starting tomorrow are likely to dominate near-term activity in financial markets. Despite mixed economic data, it appears increasingly likely that some form of tapering will be announced at the FOMC’s September meeting.


August 14, 2013

China and the Outlook for Financial Crises

China’s elevated and rising debt levels appear to be one of the largest risks to the global economy today. Although it is difficult to gauge when the risks in that country could manifest as a crisis, investors should act with the knowledge that the margin of safety in the global investment environment continues to decrease.


August 07, 2013

Not an Entry Point for U.S. Stocks

My long-term view of U.S. equities remains bullish, but a number of indicators, as well as near-term macro challenges, point to a pause in the run-up of that asset class.


July 31, 2013

The Fed’s Balance Sheet

The value of the Fed’s portfolio has fallen by about $192 billion as a result of the rise in interest rates over the past quarter. Further losses from rising interest rates could compromise the Fed’s ability to engage in monetary tightening should market conditions warrant such action.







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