August 15, 2018 | By Brian Smedley, Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research
Part 1: Credit Cycle Downturn
Part 3: Oil and Geopolitical Risk
Part 4: The Pig in the Python
Part 5: Navigating Your Portfolio
FEATURED PERSPECTIVES
History shows that once our recession forecast model reaches current levels, aggressive policy can delay recession, but not avoid it.
Credit spreads could get tighter in this liquidity-driven rally, but history has shown that the potential for widening from here is much greater.
Rational immigration policy, not rate cuts, is the way to avoid recession.
VIDEO
Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch and Matt Bush, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, share insights from the third quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, shares insights on the fixed-income market and explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Conundrum.
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