August 15, 2018 | By Brian Smedley, Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research
Part 1: Credit Cycle Downturn
Part 2: Crowding Out
Part 4: The Pig in the Python
Part 5: Navigating Your Portfolio
The Federal Reserve’s policy pivot has supported a rally in most credit sectors, but investors should worry about late cycle excesses.
Beijing is preparing for a protracted standoff as the U.S.-China trade war ramps up.
After the recession starts, high-yield bond and bank loan issuers have at least a 12-month runway before we experience a large wave of defaults.
Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”
In his market outlook, Global CIO Scott Minerd discusses the challenges of managing in a market melt up and highlights several charts from his recent piece, “10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018.”
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