Fixed-Income Outlook: Identifying Relative Value Across U.S. Fixed-Income Market Sectors - Title Image

Fixed-Income Outlook: Identifying Relative Value Across U.S. Fixed-Income Market Sectors

In our new quarterly publication, the leaders of our fixed-income investment team discuss relative value and outlook in current market conditions.

March 17, 2016

Report Highlights

  • Volatility in global equities and credit markets has rattled investors, but we do not believe the factors roiling the markets will derail the ongoing U.S. expansion.
  • The decline in oil prices may be helping consumers, but, as our sector managers relate throughout this report, it has taken a toll on corporate credit. An important input to our credit view, however, is our Macroeconomic Research Team’s analysis showing that oil prices should rise towards $40 per barrel in 2016 as global supply and demand rebalance.
  • The Macroeconomic Research Team’s constructive outlook on the U.S. economy also supports our positive view on selected credit sectors and non-Agency residential mortgage-backed securities.
  • Recent spread widening across several areas of the ABS market, particularly in post-crisis mezzanine CLOs, creates a compelling entry point.
  • The Fixed-Income Outlook highlights the breadth, depth, and process of our fixed-income investment team.
Important Notices and Disclosures

This article is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. This article contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. ©2016, Guggenheim Partners. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.


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Euphoria at Davos may be a sign that the market melt up may soon begin to cool.


Forecating the Next Recession 

Forecating the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

Macro Themes to Watch in 2018 

Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

In his market outlook, Global CIO Scott Minerd discusses the challenges of managing in a market melt up and highlights several charts from his recent piece, “10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018.”

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