Fixed-Income Outlook: The Best Offense Is a Good Defense - Title Image

Fixed-Income Outlook: The Best Offense Is a Good Defense

As concerns mount that the market has become vulnerable to near-term shocks, we remain committed to reducing credit risk and spread duration.

August 16, 2017


Fixed Income Outlook video

James Michal and Brian Smedley provide additional perspective on our 3Q 2017 Fixed-Income Outlook.


Report Summary

Stock market indexes keep making new highs, credit performance has been strong, and credit spreads keep getting tighter. At the same time, volatility plumbs record lows and central bank policies continue to obscure free market price discovery. In the new edition of our Fixed-Income Outlook, our investment management team explains why a defensive posture is a prudent course of action, and discusses shorter-term, sector-specific tactics to position our portfolios to weather the looming correction. In particular, we believe credit risk assets are particularly at risk of a correction, so we have continued to reduce our exposure to that sector. Our high-yield corporate bond allocation across our Core and Multi-Credit strategies is now at the lowest level since their inception, and we have reduced our positions in lower-rated bank loans and CLO debt.

 
 
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This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation. This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this material may be reproduced or referred to in any form, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions


FEATURED PERSPECTIVES

Fixed-Income Outlook: Walking the Risk Tightrope - Featured Perspectives
February 21, 2018

Fixed-Income Outlook: Walking the Risk Tightrope

Current conditions could persist for some time, but with a possible recession approximately two years away, the time for caution is approaching.

The Market Is Finally Getting the Joke - Featured Perspectives
February 20, 2018

The Market Is Finally Getting the Joke

Investors are coming to terms with the idea that the Fed will keep raising rates because of inflation and economic pressures.

Davos as Contra-Indicator - Featured Perspectives
January 23, 2018

Davos as Contra-Indicator

Euphoria at Davos may be a sign that the market melt up may soon begin to cool.


VIDEO

Long-Term Macroeconomic Outlook 

Our Long-Term Macroeconomic Outlook

Scott Minerd, Global Chief Investment Officer, sheds light on U.S. economic strength, headwinds for the EU, and which emerging markets look attractive for long-term investors.

Strategies for a Low-Yield Environment 

Strategies for a Low-Yield Environment

Scott Minerd, Global Chief Investment Officer, and Anne Walsh, Assistant Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income, share insights on investing in unprecedented market conditions.







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