August 16, 2017
Stock market indexes keep making new highs, credit performance has been strong, and credit spreads keep getting tighter. At the same time, volatility plumbs record lows and central bank policies continue to obscure free market price discovery. In the new edition of our Fixed-Income Outlook, our investment management team explains why a defensive posture is a prudent course of action, and discusses shorter-term, sector-specific tactics to position our portfolios to weather the looming correction. In particular, we believe credit risk assets are particularly at risk of a correction, so we have continued to reduce our exposure to that sector. Our high-yield corporate bond allocation across our Core and Multi-Credit strategies is now at the lowest level since their inception, and we have reduced our positions in lower-rated bank loans and CLO debt.
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FEATURED PERSPECTIVES
While the U.S. economy remains on solid footing, exogenous risks threaten asset values, market confidence, and the strength of the U.S. economy.
To achieve long-term prosperity, rational immigration policy must become a priority.
Investors should stay guarded for exogenous shocks that could pull the next recession forward and cause markets to reprice credit risk.
VIDEO
Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”
In his market outlook, Global CIO Scott Minerd discusses the challenges of managing in a market melt up and highlights several charts from his recent piece, “10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018.”
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