October 14, 2016
The leveraged credit market turned in another impressive quarter, but valuations suggest caution going forward. Prices have risen for high-yield bonds and bank loans, and we are concerned about rising levels of leverage, ongoing troubles in the banking sector, and uncertainty surrounding upcoming political events—including the U.S. presidential election, the Italian constitutional referendum, and key European elections. Nevertheless, interest expense coverage ratios for non-commodity high-yield issuers are strong, and the domestic U.S. economy is relatively healthy. In this environment, we will likely be selling into strength and buying on weakness. As a lower beta credit play, we believe the bank loan market currently offers better value than high-yield bonds.
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