Portfolio Strategy    |   June 17, 2019    |   Fixed-Income Outlook

Managing While Risk Premia Shrink

The Federal Reserve’s policy pivot has supported a rally in most credit sectors, but investors should worry about late cycle excesses.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 23, 2019   

U.S.-China Trade War: The New Long March

Beijing is preparing for a protracted standoff as the U.S.-China trade war ramps up.


Sector Views    |   May 17, 2019    |   High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Quantifying the Credit Risk and Default Runway

After the recession starts, high-yield bond and bank loan issuers have at least a 12-month runway before we experience a large wave of defaults.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 29, 2019   

The Next Step for the Fed Could Be a Hike

Signs of economic strength suggest the market is wrong to price in a rate cut.


Macroeconomic Research    |   April 09, 2019   

Forecasting the Next Recession: How Severe Will the Next Recession Be?

Our Recession Probability Model and Recession Dashboard suggest the recession could come as early as first half of 2020 but may not be as severe as past recessions.


Global CIO Outlook    |   January 24, 2019   

Amber Lights Flash at Davos

Should the mood this year at Davos prove once again to be a contra-indicator, this may be the signal that the economy is likely to re-accelerate soon and that the party in risk assets continues.


Global CIO Outlook    |   July 30, 2018   

Welcome, Immigrants. The U.S. Really Needs You

To achieve long-term prosperity, rational immigration policy must become a priority.


Portfolio Strategy    |   July 09, 2018   

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Shortening duration, maintaining an investment-grade portfolio, and generating attractive yields do not have to be competing investment objectives for core fixed-income investors.


VIDEO

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, shares insights on the fixed-income market and explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Conundrum.

Watch Video

Fixed-Income Outlook

Second Quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook

Portfolio Manager Steve Brown and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group Brian Smedley share insights from the second quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.

Watch Video


Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2019 - Image Thumbnail
June 17, 2019

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2019

Selected charts from our First Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why we believe late-cycle drama is unfolding.

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2019 - Image Thumbnail
January 16, 2019

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2019

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2019 and beyond.



Portfolio Strategy    |   May 01, 2019   

Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

Explaining the structure and investor-friendly features of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), an often misunderstood sector of structured credit.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2018   

Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development

A framework for transitioning sustainable investing to an institutional asset class.


Portfolio Strategy    |   August 08, 2017   

The ABCs of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed securities.




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