Global CIO Outlook    |   March 22, 2020   

The Great Leverage Unwind

Funding and trading markets are not functioning well due to excessive leverage needing to be unwound in the financial system.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 20, 2020   

Value Is a Poor Timing Tool

Markets often overshoot, and just because things are cheap doesn’t mean they can’t get cheaper.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 19, 2020   

Necessary But Not Adequate

Without the right programs, this shortfall in credit availability will increase and it will further deepen the crisis.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 09, 2020   

The Butterfly Effect

The market is waking up to not just the viral contagion of coronavirus, but also to financial, economic, and geopolitical contagion.


Global CIO Outlook    |   February 27, 2020   

Note to Clients: Markets Infected by Coronavirus

Portfolio positioning with coronavirus on the brink of pandemic.


Portfolio Strategy    |   February 18, 2020   

Concerned About Climate Change? 6 Ways for Insurers to Future-Proof Their Portfolios

Rising global temperatures and water levels are affecting markets and economies, with more trouble ahead. Insurers need to plan for it now.


Global CIO Outlook    |   February 13, 2020   

“Peace for Our Time”

The coronavirus is a looming economic problem.


Sector Views    |   February 11, 2020    |   High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

The Relative Value Case for Bank Loans Over High Yield

Loans present an opportunity to move up the capital structure with better spreads and yields than high-yield corporate bonds.


Global CIO Outlook    |   January 23, 2020   

The Economic Incentives of Climate Change

Realistic practical solutions must become the primary focus of climate change debate.


Macroeconomic Research    |   January 22, 2020   

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2020

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2020 and beyond.


Global CIO Outlook    |   January 20, 2020   

Global Central Banks Fueling a Ponzi Market

Ultimately, investors will awaken to the rising tide of defaults and downgrades.


Macroeconomic Research    |   September 17, 2019   

Forecasting the Next Recession: Will Rate Cuts Be Enough?

History shows that once our recession forecast model reaches current levels, aggressive policy can delay recession, but not avoid it.


VIDEO

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, shares insights on the fixed-income market and explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Conundrum.

Watch Video

Fixed-Income Outlook

Brian Smedley, Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, and Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch share insights from the fourth quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.

Watch Video


10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2020 - Image Thumbnail
January 22, 2020

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2020

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2020 and beyond.

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q4 2019 - Image Thumbnail
December 23, 2019

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q4 2019

Selected charts from our Fourth Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate the risk and reward of “mid-cycle” rate cuts.



Portfolio Strategy    |   December 12, 2019   

The Transition Away from Libor

Much Progress, More Wood to Chop


Portfolio Strategy    |   November 08, 2019   

The Science and Art of Risk Management: Liquidity Risk

Good risk management leads to good decision making.


Portfolio Strategy    |   November 04, 2019   

The Risk Mitigation Advantage in Active Fixed-Income Management

Why active has the potential to outperform passive in fixed income.




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