Global CIO Outlook    |   June 08, 2020   

The Fed’s Roadmap

The Fed has increasingly unorthodox policy options if the economy remains mired in a protracted downturn.


Sector Views    |   May 20, 2020    |   High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

Reaching the End of the Runway

While the U.S. speculative-grade default rate could reach 15 percent in this cycle, the market is offering better entry points than seen in years.


Global CIO Outlook    |   May 10, 2020   

We Are All Government-Sponsored Enterprises Now

The support to corporate America during this economic shutdown risks the creation of a new moral obligation for the U.S. government.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 26, 2020   

Prepare for the Era of Recrimination

The unintended consequences and moral hazard of insufficient and misdirected policies.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 13, 2020   

The Emerging Emerging-Markets Crisis

Global capital markets are not pricing in the growing likelihood of rising EM corporate defaults.


Global CIO Outlook    |   April 05, 2020   

Note to Clients: Where We Are Nibbling at Value

Allocating capital as the pandemic progresses; emerging markets may be next domino to fall.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 27, 2020   

The Faustian Bargain

The consequences of policymakers returning to the same tools employed in the financial crisis.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 22, 2020   

The Great Leverage Unwind

Funding and trading markets are not functioning well due to excessive leverage needing to be unwound in the financial system.


Global CIO Outlook    |   March 20, 2020   

Value Is a Poor Timing Tool

Markets often overshoot, and just because things are cheap doesn’t mean they can’t get cheaper.


VIDEO

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, shares insights on the fixed-income market and explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Conundrum.

Watch Video

Fixed-Income Outlook

Macro Themes for 2020

Brian Smedley, Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, and Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch share insights from the fourth quarter 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook.

Watch Video


10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2020 - Image Thumbnail
January 22, 2020

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2020

Ten charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends most likely to shape Fed policy and investment performance in 2020 and beyond.

Forecasting the Next Recession: Will Rate Cuts Be Enough? - Image Thumbnail
September 17, 2019

Forecasting the Next Recession: Will Rate Cuts Be Enough?

History shows that once our recession forecast model reaches current levels, aggressive policy can delay recession, but not avoid it.



Portfolio Strategy    |   December 12, 2019   

The Transition Away from Libor

Much Progress, More Wood to Chop


Portfolio Strategy    |   November 08, 2019   

The Science and Art of Risk Management: Liquidity Risk

Good risk management leads to good decision making.


Portfolio Strategy    |   November 04, 2019   

The Risk Mitigation Advantage in Active Fixed-Income Management

Why active has the potential to outperform passive in fixed income.




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