Global CIO Outlook

Guggenheim Global Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd offers insights on macroeconomic trends and the potential impacts on global investment opportunities.



The Sustainable Development Quotient

Scott Minerd discusses the importance of transitioning sustainable development into an institutional asset class.


November 07, 2014

'Risk On' for Now

U.S. high-yield bonds, leveraged credit, and equities will likely outperform in the coming months, but there are obstacles ahead.


October 29, 2014

Europe Must Act Now

Things in Europe are bad and policymakers appear already to have fallen behind the curve. The reality is the ECB will need to purchase at least another €1.5 trillion in assets, and even that may not be enough to avert a severe slowdown.


October 23, 2014

Short-Term Optimism, Longer-Term Caution

U.S. stocks will likely move higher as pension fund managers go bargain hunting in an effort to put seasonal cash inflows to work.


October 16, 2014

Seasonal Factors Ready to Turn Positive

After a volatile week in markets, U.S. equities are now oversold and investors should be alert for seasonal factors that should soon turn positive.


October 02, 2014

Banquo’s Grain and U.S. Interest Rates

The U.S. economy is strong enough to suggest higher interest rates ahead, but a number of factors suggest U.S. Treasury yields could move lower.


September 24, 2014

After “Considerable Time,” Fed to Define “Highly Accommodative”

As the Federal Reserve maintains a “highly accommodative” monetary policy the central bank runs the risk of allowing the U.S. economy to overheat.


September 18, 2014

Why the Pennant Race Could Coincide with Market Volatility

While the U.S. economy is gaining momentum, investors should nevertheless brace for volatility in the next few weeks.


September 10, 2014

Bulls Charge Despite Weak Data

As the U.S. Federal Reserve debates withdrawing accommodation the doves have the upper hand, but that does not mean they won’t make a concession to hawks and hike sooner than the market expects.


September 03, 2014

Central Banks Pump Up the Volume

Aggressive central bank accommodation from Europe to Japan and a dovish Federal Reserve bode well for equities and bond prices.


August 20, 2014

Don’t Fight the U.S. Treasury Rally

A number of factors seem likely to drive U.S. 10-year Treasury rates lower in the near term, including increasing demand, decreasing supply, and tension in Ukraine and Iraq that is triggering a flight to quality. As Treasury yields fall, a wave of mortgage refinancing could drive yields even lower, creating a compelling opportunity to rebalance portfolios.







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