Macroeconomic and Investment Research

Our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Team analyzes a wide range of economic data and market behavior to synthesize the implications for investors and the potential direction of policy and markets.


 


November 14, 2017

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q4 2017

Selected charts from our Fourth Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why prudent investors must look past melt-up conditions to the longer-term outlook.


September 27, 2017

Stocks for the Long Run? Not Now

Based on today’s relatively rich valuations, U.S. equity investors are likely to be disappointed after the next 10 years.


August 16, 2017

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q3 2017

Selected charts from our Third Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate the case for reducing exposure to credit risk and spread duration.


August 16, 2017

Market Yawns as Fed Tees Up Balance Sheet Runoff

Easy financial conditions keep the Fed on course despite a string of weak inflation readings.


August 07, 2017

The Transition Away from Libor

Plans are afoot to establish a replacement for Libor beyond the FCA’s 2021 end date.


May 24, 2017

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q2 2017

Selected charts from our Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook suggest that now is a time for caution amid tight spreads and evolving monetary and fiscal policy.


May 18, 2017

Fed Likely to Stay the Course

A tightening labor market and near-target inflation will keep the Fed on track even as fiscal policy sputters.


February 15, 2017

Fixed-Income Outlook Chart Highlights: Q1 2017

Selected charts from our First Quarter 2017 Fixed-Income Outlook reflect market conditions as the Fed’s path and President Trump’s policy agenda come into focus.


February 15, 2017

Factoring in Late-Cycle Fiscal Stimulus

The Fed will likely need to hike rates at a faster pace than the markets are pricing in.


January 23, 2017

10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2017

Ten charts illustrate the global macroeconomic trends most likely to shape the investment environment in 2017 and beyond.







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