Fixed-Income Outlook: A Tight Market Gets Tighter - Title Image

Fixed-Income Outlook: A Tight Market Gets Tighter

Prudent investors must look past melt-up conditions to the longer-term outlook.

November 13, 2017


Fixed Income Outlook video

Steve Brown and Maria Giraldo provide additional perspective on our 4Q 2017 Fixed-Income Outlook.


Report Summary

Virtually every piece of data you could look at is associated with a solid economy, and it is about to get stronger from the surge in post-hurricane rebuilding, seasonal tailwinds, and possible tax cuts. At the same time, the Fed is ratcheting rates higher and normalizing its balance sheet, spreads in most fixed-income sectors are moving to historical tights, and below investment-grade yields are likely to breach historical lows. Investors today are simply not being compensated for the risks they are taking. The question now is how to generate yield without taking on undue interest-rate or credit risk. The challenge is to avoid chasing short-term gains and maintain the discipline required for long-term investing success.

 
 
Important Notices and Disclosures

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this material may be reproduced or referred to in any form, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

© 2017 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. All rights reserved. Guggenheim, Guggenheim Partners and Innovative Solutions. Enduring Values. are registered trademarks of Guggenheim Capital, LLC.


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VIDEO

Forecating the Next Recession 

Forecating the Next Recession

Global CIO Scott Minerd and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research Brian Smedley provide context and commentary to complement our recent publication, “Forecasting the Next Recession.”

Macro Themes to Watch in 2018 

Macro Themes to Watch in 2018

In his market outlook, Global CIO Scott Minerd discusses the challenges of managing in a market melt up and highlights several charts from his recent piece, “10 Macro Themes to Watch in 2018.”







© 2018 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. All rights reserved. Guggenheim, Guggenheim Partners and Innovative Solutions. Enduring Values. are registered trademarks of Guggenheim Capital, LLC.