Positioned for Choppier Waters - Title Image

Positioned for Choppier Waters

After several quarters of low volatility, tight spreads, and abundant liquidity, financial conditions are shifting.

May 16, 2018


Fixed Income Outlook video

Steve Brown and Matt Bush share insights from the Second Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook


Fixed-Income Outlook

Second Quarter 2018

Here are the key takeaways from our latest report:

  • The complacent environment, characterized by low volatility and a scarcity of bonds to buy, is changing.
  • The shift from quantitative easing to quantitative tightening took its toll in the first quarter of 2018 as rate, credit, and equity volatility all spiked.
  • We expect more of the same going forward and are preparing portfolios accordingly.
  • As we approach the turn in the credit cycle, our portfolio managers have been shortening portfolio duration, opportunistically moving up in credit, and maintaining a reasonable liquidity buffer for picking up undervalued credits in periods of market weakness.
 
 
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Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this material may be reproduced or referred to in any form, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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FEATURED PERSPECTIVES

Despite the Gray Mood, Skies Are Only Partly Cloudy - Featured Perspectives
May 24, 2022

Despite the Gray Mood, Skies Are Only Partly Cloudy

The outlook for credit amid rising inflation, monetary tightening, and war in Europe.

Fed Aggressiveness Following Delayed Liftoff Sets Up 2023 Collision - Featured Perspectives
May 18, 2022

Fed Aggressiveness Following Delayed Liftoff Sets Up 2023 Collision

The risks of tightening into a downturn.

For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946 - Featured Perspectives
March 22, 2022

For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946

Clues from history on how to successfully end the current surge in prices.


VIDEOS & PODCASTS

Market Outlook 

First Quarter 2022 Market Outlook

Maria Giraldo, CFA, Managing Director, Investment Research, and Evan Serdensky, Director, Portfolio Management, provide our macro and markets outlook.

Macro Markets Podcast 

Macro Markets Podcast Episode 14: FOMC Minutes and Listener Mail

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, provides an update on the macroeconomic outlook, including his analysis of the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. We also answer listener questions.