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Despite a strong March 2021 jobs report, full employment remains far away.
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The summer months tend to deliver stronger-than-average returns for bonds.
A Green New Deal should not be viewed as a big government program, but as an opportunity to reinvent vast swaths of the U.S. economy while pursuing the laudable goal of carbon neutrality.
Fed Chair Jay Powell is giving conflicting guidance to bond investors.
Our view is that inflation will generally remain subdued in coming years, allowing the Fed to point to cumulative shortfalls from its two percent goal to support delaying the start of policy tightening.
Selected charts from our First Quarter Fixed-Income Outlook illustrate why we are staying on offense.
Pandemic deaths continue to mount, but vaccine deployment and massive policy support will lift growth in 2021.
With economic growth in 2021 likely to far exceed potential, we may be entering a golden age for credit.
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